The anchors of stability which have kept the world in balance over the past 80 years are fast slipping away: whether in politics, economics or culture. That’s not to say that they have provided a firm basis for building our future – wars, financial crises and social breakdown have all featured strongly in the decades since the end of the Second World War. The recent elections in England showed that challenges to old certainties are very much evident in the UK, with both established parties, Conservative and Labour, being literally taken to the cleaners by the rise in support for Nigel Farage’s Reform party.
It’s clear that the old political reasoning providing a choice between socialism and the self-interested ‘natural party of government’ (as people used to describe the Conservatives) is no longer acceptable. If the main parties cannot provide a logically-based and more egalitarian style of government, then voters will show their preference to demand their own ‘populist’ self-interest, whatever that means.
As the spending review will show, it’s economics which has brought down both Labour and Conservative parties. The public-finance piggy-bank is empty, and there’s no indication that Reform would do any better.
Read more:
- My middle-class, lifelong Labour-voting friends are turning to Reform UK
- Working class and young people are ditching Labour. ‘Aping Reform’ won’t bring them back
- What could be in Rachel Reeves’ spending review – and what should be?
The fact that so-called stealth taxes have pushed more than eight million people into higher-rate taxation is deeply significant. The freezing of tax thresholds was introduced by the Conservatives and has been locked in by Labour, and it has left huge numbers of people feeling worse off, even if they don’t understand the intricacies of the tax system. Meanwhile, Labour’s attempts to impose higher taxation on ‘those with the broadest shoulders’ has also failed dismally as a result of the exodus of wealthy individuals, both non-doms and ordinary citizens.
Then, as Trussell shows in its report, Cost of Hunger and Hardship, the nine million enduring poverty in 2024 continues to increase in number: a further 425,000 people are projected to face this situation in the next three years if nothing changes to reverse it. They estimate the cost to the Exchequer being £75 billion each year. Meanwhile, slashing overseas aid budgets while at the same time trying to hold back the surge of economic migrants from disadvantaged countries simply demonstrates the illogicality of government thinking.