Prisoners released into homelessness has surged 82% in two years – we're setting people up to fail
We will never fix the prison capacity crisis until we fix the problem of where to house people when they get out of prison, writes Nacro chief executive Campbell Robb
by: Campbell Robb
8 Aug 2025
Prisoners who are released into homelessness are more than twice as likely to reoffend. Image: Donald Tong/ Pexels
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In the past two years we have seen a rise of 82% in the number of people coming out of prison homeless – the highest number since record keeping began five years ago. MOJ data released last week showed we are now seeing more than 1,000 people a month come out of prison homeless, a 39% rise in the past year alone.
There are a number of reasons for this dramatic increase. Firstly, it’s important to note that over the past two years we have also seen an increase in the total number of people being released from prison, as the current and previous governments sought to deal with the prison capacity crisis. However, the number of people leaving prison has only increased by 38% in the last two years, so proportionally the increase in the number coming out homeless is much greater.
Part of the reason for the increase is related to a wider increase in homelessness in the UK. The latest government data show 327,950 households were assessed as homeless after contacting their local council – a record high, and rough sleeping increased by 20% in the last year alone.
However, there are schemes in place to offer housing to people coming out of prison. CAS-3 launched in 2021 and offers up to 84 days of housing for those with nowhere else to go. Last year 10,200 people were provided with CAS-3 accommodation, a rise of 45% in one year. CAS-3 is meant as a last resort but is now housing one in eight prison leavers.
So, for those who don’t meet the criteria to be housing through CAS-3, what are the options open to them?
Both the cost of living and housing crisis mean that private rents and deposits are pushed even further out of reach for most people leaving prison who have very little and are unlikely to be employed. That’s before they have to navigate the stigma and prejudice that people with a criminal record face when it comes to finding a rental property.
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Seeking housing through the local authority also throws up barriers for prison leavers. People leaving prison can be incorrectly classed as making themselves intentionally homeless or have a lack of a local connection, meaning they are low priority for support from local authorities. Even if they are eligible for support with housing they join ever-growing waiting lists and as the majority of prison leavers are single men they often aren’t seen as a priority for housing.
There has also been criticism of the support that people receive in prison to help them line up housing on release. In its latest report, HMI Prisons rated only 19% of the prisons they inspected as ‘good’ for rehabilitation and release planning. In a prison estate that is overcrowded and overstretched, there often just isn’t the time, skills or capacity to solve the difficult problem of housing for many people leaving prison.
Coming out of prison into homelessness is devastating for the individuals who in most cases just wants to start again and move on with their lives. But it also has a wider impact.
When someone comes out of prison homeless they are twice as likely to reoffend than someone who comes out into settled accommodation. This increase in homeless prison leavers is likely to be matched by an increase in reoffending, filling up prison cells faster than the government policy can free them up. We will never fix the prison capacity crisis until we fix the problem of where to house people when they get out of prison.
There has always been a strong link between homelessness and the criminal justice system, its estimated over half of people who are rough sleeping have been in contact with the criminal justice system. This is not surprising, as without somewhere to live people stand little chance of tackling the issues that drive much offending – substance misuse, mental health issues, poverty.
The Independent Sentencing Review proposed changes, that the government has largely accepted, which will free up 10,000 prison places – by releasing some people earlier for good behaviour whilst in prison and introducing a presumption against short prison sentences. It’s vital that this is done to tackle the overcrowding crisis in prisons, but it is important to recognise that this will lead to up to 10,000 extra people being managed in the community rather than in prison. We must ensure that accommodation is available, as otherwise we just exchange the crisis in our prisons for a crisis in our communities, and that fails the individuals caught up in the system but also fails all of our communities.
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Giving people a community sentence and expecting them to complete it while they live on the streets is setting people up to fail. Day-to-day survival is hard when you are homeless, to also expect people to also deal with the issues that lead to their offending is unrealistic.
We need urgent action to address the issue of prison leaver homelessness. We need more housing across the board but must include specific housing for people coming out of prison and serving community sentences. Beyond short-term accommodation on release from prison we need to ensure that there is move-on accommodation so that people can progress into a stable and long-term home. This supports people to move on with their lives whilst also ensuring that transitional accommodation is available for those that need it.
People in the criminal justice system often have complex lives, many have suffered trauma, have mental health issues, substance abuse problems. It is vital to work with people to address these issues in order for them to move on with their lives and deal with the problems which have led to their offending in the first place. To do this properly and to do it for everyone who needs it, there must be more funding available.
Reversing the trend of increasing numbers of people coming out of prison homeless won’t be an overnight fix, it won’t be cheap and it won’t be easy, but it is essential. If we want to free up places in prison, if we want to reduce reoffending, if we want to give people the best chance to turn their lives around then we need to invest in getting it right.
